近地小行星防御中的行动准则和在轨处置阈值*

  • 龚自正 ,
  • 宋光明 ,
  • 张品亮 ,
  • 任思远
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  • 北京卫星环境工程研究所,北京 100094;辽宁大学空间科学与技术研究院,沈阳 110036
龚自正(1964—),研究员。主要从事空间碎片防护与清除、冲击动力学、高压物理等研究。电子邮箱:gongzz@263.net

网络出版日期: 2023-12-11

基金资助

国家航天局“近地小行星撞击风险应对重大专项”(KJSP2020020101);国家航天局民用航天技术预先研究项目 (D020304)

On the Criteria & Thresholds of Action for NEA Impact Threat

  • GONG Zi-zheng ,
  • SONG Guang-ming ,
  • ZHANG Pin-liang ,
  • REN Si-yuan
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  • 1. Beijing Institute of Spacecraft Environment Engineering,Beijing 100094,China;
    2. Institute of Space Science and Technology,Liaoning University,Shenyang 110036,China

Online published: 2023-12-11

摘要

小行星撞击事件频发,是人类共同面对的重大潜在威胁。基于监测预警数据研判撞击风险,制定适用于不同撞击风险场景的行动准则和在轨处置阈值,对近地小行星撞击威胁应对具有决定性指导作用。本文介绍了SMPAG推荐的应对行动准则和NASA给出的最新应对基准。综合考虑撞击概率、撞击灾害、在轨处置可行性、任务实施成本等,提出了新的应对行动基准建议。可为近地小行星撞击威胁应对行动提供参考。

本文引用格式

龚自正 , 宋光明 , 张品亮 , 任思远 . 近地小行星防御中的行动准则和在轨处置阈值*[J]. 空间科学与试验学报, 2022 , 22(3) : 1 -4 . DOI: 10.19963/j.cnki.2096-4099.2022.03.001

Abstract

In history,NEA impact on the Earth has occurred frequently,threatening all human beings in the long term.Based on the monitoring and warning data and the impact risk assessment,it is of decisive guidance to develop the principle of response action and the active defense threshold for the different NEA impact risk scenarios.This article introduces the response action criteria and the active defense threshold recommended by SMPAG,and also NASA's latest response benchmark.Comprehensively considering the existing recommendations,the impact probability,impact disaster,active defense feasibility,mission implementation cost and benefit,we recommend new response action criteria and the active defense threshold.It can provide reference for the response to the NEA impact threat.

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